Severgroup Exponential

1.

Severgroup Exponential
Strategy Session
For private audience
Not for redistribution; Copyright attributed

2.

Революция искусственного
интеллекта
Adam Pantan
For private audience
Not for redistribution; Copyright attributed

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4.

Революция?
Revolution?

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revolution?

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Turing
Test
Тест
Тьюринга

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approaching
Приближается
Бюджетный
low
[5]

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Million
Billion
Trillion
Quadrillion
Quintillion
Миллион
Миллиард
Триллион
Квадриллион
Квинтиллион

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Программное обеспечение учится, когда видит обман (блеф)
Software learns when it pays to deceive (bluffing)

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Парадокс
Моравека

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Life,
Eucaryotic cells, multicellular organisms,
Cambrian Explosion (body plans),
Reptiles,
Class Mammalia,
Primates,
Superfamily Hominoidea,
Family Hominidae,
Human ancestors walk upright,
Genus Homo, Homo Erectus,
specialised stone tools,
Spoken language,
Homo sapiens,
Homo sapiens sapiens,
Art, early cities,
Agriculture,
Writing, wheel,
City States,
Printing, experimental method,
Industrial Revolution,
Telephone, electricity, radio,
Computer,
Personal Computer,
AI resurgence
Deep learning, big data
Human level speech AI
AI wins most complex games
Жизнь,
Эукариотические (ядерные)клетки, многоклеточные организмы,
Кембрийский взрыв (планы строения тела),
Рептилии,
Класс млекопитающих,
Приматы,
Суперсемейство Гоминоидов,
Семейство Гоминид,
Человеческие предки ходят прямо,
Род Люди, Человек прямоходящий,
специализированные каменные инструменты,
Разговорный язык,
Человек разумный,
Человек разумный, разумный
Искусство, ранние города,
Сельское хозяйство,
Письменность, колесо,
Городские штаты,
Печатное дело, экспериментальный метод,
Индустриальная революция,
Телефон, электричество, радио,
Компьютер,
Персональный компьютер,
Возрождение ИИ
Глубокое обучение, большие данные
Человеческий уровень речи ИИ
ИИ побеждает в самых сложных играх

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[14]

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[15]

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[16]

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[17]

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SLOW
Медленный
Внезапный
SUDDEN

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Artificial Intelligence
Машинное обучение
Machine Learning
Искусственный интеллект

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Supervised Learning
Обучение с учителем

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Classification
Классификация
Регрессия
Regression

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Unsupervised Learning
Обучение без учителя

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Reinforcement Learning
армирование Обучение

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170
10

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+30 Trillion/Триллион
+10 Trillion/Триллион
+4 Trillion/Триллион
Incrementing Market Capitalization by the Computing Wave
Увеличение рыночной капитализации с помощью вычислительной волны

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[11]

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Приближается
к человеку
Nearly Human
[12]

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Strong/Weak (General/Narrow)
Сильный / Слабый (Общий / узкий)

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благодарю вас
Thank you
@apophenist

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References
[1] Adapted from Precision of the da Vinci Surgical System,
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oNEqGf96CRk, YouTube
[2] Cyberdyne's Hal Exoskeleton https://www.cyberdyne.jp/english/
[3] Adapted from The Countdown to the Singularity,
http://www.singularity.com/charts/page17.html, The Singularity Is Near
[4] Adapted from Moore’s Law,
http://www.singularity.com/charts/page67.html, The Singularity Is Near
[5] Adapted from Exponential Growth of Computing,
http://www.singularity.com/charts/page70.html, The Singularity Is Near
[6] Adapted from Sophia, Little Sophia, http://hansonrobotics.com, Hanson Robotics
[7] Adapted from media, original source @Abyssrealdoll,
https://www.instagram.com/abyssrealdoll/, instagram
[8] Adapted from U.S War Death, http://www.singularity.com/charts/page331.html,
The Singularity is Near

61.

References
[9] Adapted from Executive Summary World Robotics 2018 Industrial Robots
https://ifr.org/downloads/press2018/Executive_Summary_WR_2018_Industrial_Robots.pdf
[10] Adapted from ARK Invest’s Big Ideas https://research.ark-invest.com/big-ideas-2019 Data from: United Nations Economic Commission for Europe; International Federa
[11] Adapted from OMRON https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xRQIftQ0Tvw
[12] Adapted from ARK Invest’s Big Ideas https://research.ark-invest.com/big-ideas-2019
Data from: Amazon, Knight, Will. “Exclusive: This Is the Most Dexterous Robot Ever Created.” MIT Technology Review, MIT Technology Review, 1 Apr. 2018.
[13] Adapted from Kuka — The Dual, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tIIJME8-au8
[14] Adapted from IEEE Spectrum, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g0TaYhjpOfo
[15] Adapted from Boston Dynamics, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SD6Okylclb8
[16] Adapted from Boston Dynamics, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aFuA50H9uek
[17] Adapted from Boston Dynamics, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LikxFZZO2sk

62.

References
[18] Adapted from Pindar Van Arman, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GrEttzMCneo
[19] Adapted from Boston Dynamics, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vjSohj-Iclc
[20] Adapted from Tesla, Model 3, https://www.tesla.com/model3
Resources
a.
b.
c.
d.
e.
The Singularity is Near: http://www.singularity.com/index.html
Hanson Robotics, http://hansonrobotics.com
ARK Invest’s Big Ideas https://research.ark-invest.com/big-ideas-2019
Executive Summary World Robotics 2018 Industrial Robots https://ifr.org/downloads/press2018/Executive_Summary_W
The International Federation of Robotics, https://ifr.org