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Larry Williams in Moscow
1. Larry Williams in Moscow
2. Here’s Where I Live
©2015 LnL Publishing. All rights reserved.3. Here’s Where I Live
©2015 LnL Publishing. All rights reserved.4. THE GOOD NEWS
MOST ANYONE CANLEARN TO TRADE
SUCCESSFULLY!!
5. 53 Years of Trading
The fact I have made millions, mystudents have made millions only
tells us my approach works and
has for a long, long time. We are
not one hit wonders!
©2015 LnL Publishing. All rights reserved.
6. Just last week…
2015-11-13 19:18:00.522 GMTBy Lu Wang (Bloomberg) –
Larry Williams, a trader whose markettiming tool ranks best among almost two
dozen strategies in 2015, said
U.S. stocks will resume their advance in
coming weeks, lifting
the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index above its
May record by year-end
7. Fridays Headline
U.S. Stocks haveBest Week of 2015 as
Interest Concerns Fade
8. CURRENT 52 WINING TRADES
9. HOW I HAVE MADE MILLIONS
MY TRADING SUCCESS HAS COMEFROM ONE OF TWO APPROACHES
10. HOW I HAVE MADE MILLIONS
1) SHORT TERM TRADING WITH LOTSOF TRADES IN MOST ACTIVE
MARKETS; GOLD, BONDS, E MINI
Patterns, Momentum, Influences
11. HOW I HAVE MADE MILLIONS
2) Longer term “Fundamentally Set Up”trades. Specific set up markets
Smart Money, Accumulation, Fade Public
12. FIDELITY STUDY
1) The shorter you hold a stock, themore likely you are to lose money
2) Accounts that had done the best
were the accounts of people who
forgot they had an account at Fidelity
13. HOW I HAVE MADE MILLIONS
EXPONENTAIL WEALTHCOMES FROM
1) BEING A GOOD TO DECENT TRADER
2) USING AGGRESSIVE MONEY
MANAGEMENT
14. SIN STOCKS
15. VALUE TRUMPS GROWTH
16. HOW I HAVE MADE MILLIONS
MONEY MANAGEMENT IS THE KEY TOTHE KINGDOM OF WEALTH
BUT IS ALSO OPENS THE
DOOR TO DISASTER
17. $1,250 profits from 2002-2015
18. 1.6 Million With Money Management
19. Secrets of Trading in Russia
Russian Stocks are predictableCycles
Seasonals
Mutual Fund influences.
Professional Accumulation
20. MAJOR 80 WEEK CYCLE
21. SEASONAL PATTERN
22. 2016 SEASONAL projection RTSI
23. VALUATION MODEL
24. Secrets of Trading in Russia
World wide stocks rally at the end ofThe month and Russia is no exception
25. Secrets of Trading in Russia
RULEBuy on the opening of the 2nd to last day of
the month, hold for 2 days and exit
60% winners
26. Secrets of Trading in Russia
27. Secrets of Trading in Russia
QUESTIONS TO ASKARE SOME MONTHS
BETTER THAN OTHERS?
DOES TREND MATTER?
28. Secrets of Trading in Russia
29. Secrets of Trading in Russia
BYPASSMAY JULY AUGUST
FOCUS ON
JANUARY MARCH JUNE
NOVEMBER DECEMBER
30. Secrets of Trading in Russia
Monday has not been a great dayFor this strategy
Helps if trend is up; close > close
40 days ago
31. Secrets of Trading in Russia
32. Secrets of Trading in Russia
THAT IS MY OOPS! PATTERNIF OPEN IS < PRIOR LOW
BUY WHEN COMES BACK TO
PRIOR LOW
33. Secrets of Trading in Russia
34. Secrets of Trading in Russia
35. EXAMPLES
36. EXAMPLES
37. OOPS! IN RUBLE
38. OOPS! IN RUBLE
39. Secrets of Trading in Russia
RUSSIANS LIKE TO FOLLOW STRENGTHWHEN TUESDAY HAS BEEN STRONG
40. Secrets of Trading in Russia
41. Secrets of Trading in Russia
WHAT IS THE BEST DAY TO BUY ??WHAT IS THE BEST DAY TO SELL??
42. Secrets of Trading in Russia
BEST BUY DAY ISWEDNESDAY
43. Wednesday Buys
44. Secrets of Trading in Russia
BEST SELL DAYTUESDAY
45. FAKEOUT PATTERN
KEY REVERSALSARE NOT
REAL REVERSALS
46. FAKEOUT PATTERN
47. FAKEOUT PATTERN
48. FAKEOUT PATTERN
49. FAKEOUT SELL RUBLE
50. FAKEOUT PATTERN
51. FAKEOUT PATTERN
52. FAKEOUT PATTERN
FAKEOUT RUBLE53. More Examples
54. E MINI SIGNALS
55. 4 TYPES OF DAYS
ONLY 4 TYPES OF DAYS1. UP RANGE
2. DOWN RANGE
3. OUTSIDE RANGE
4. INSIDE RANGE
56. 4 TYPES OF DAYS
57. OUTSIDE DAYS
58. INSIDE DAYS
59. 8 TYPES OF DAYS
ONLY 4 TYPES OF DAYS—8 PATTERNS1 UP RANGE
2 DOWN RANGE
3 OUTSIDE RANGE
4 INSIDE RANGE
+/- DAY
+/-DAY
+/- DAY
+/- DAY
60. KEY REVERSAL THEN INSIDE
61. KEY REVERSAL THEN INSIDE
62. KEY REVERSAL THEN INSIDE
63. Money Management Math
% Accuracy #’s etc ofyour system DO NOT MATTER
MUCH AT ALL!!
RALPH VINCE A MUST READ
64. Money Management Curve
65. Martingale
DOUBLE UP AFTER EVERYLOSSS OR SOME VERSION
OF THAT STRATEGY
66. DIFFERENT FORMULA
KELLY RATIOOPTIMAL F
RYAN JONES
LATANTE
WILLIAMS % RISK
67. Money Management Math
YOU MUST INCREASE BET SIZEAS PROFITS INCREASE
YOU MUST DECREASE BET SIZE AS
AS PROFITS DECREASE
68. Money Management Math
YOU MUST COMMIT A FIXED %OF ACCOUNT
SO RISK IS EQUALL
ON EACH TRADE/WAGER
69. Just Like Trading
70. Money Management Math
IT ONLY TAKES ONE LOSING TRADETO WIPE OUT A TRADER…ONLY ONE
That’s Like Russian Roulette
71. Money Management Math
THE MORE YOU RISKTHE MORE YOU CAN GAIN
AND THE MORE YOU RISK
THE MORE YOU CAN LOSE
IS THE PROBLEM
72. Money Management Math
ONE TRADE, ONE BULLET KILLS YOUI HAVE SEEN THE MARKETS
DESTROY MANY PEOPLE
MUST ALWAYS BE DILLIGENT
73. Money Management Math
IF YOU BET BIGYOU WILL LOSE BIG
74. Money Management Math
IF YOU BET SMALLYOU CAN ONLY
LOSE SMALL
75. Money Management Math
PROFITS ARE A FUNCTION OF TRENDNO TREND NO PROFITS
76. Money Management Math
TREND IS A FUNCTION OF TIMETHE MORE TIME
THE BIGGER THE TREND
77. Money Management Math
THE ONLY WAY DAYTRADERSCAN WIN BIG IS TO BET BIG
AS THEY CANNOT CATCH
LARGE TREND MOVES
---NO TIME---
78. Money Management Math
TO WIN BIGBET SMALL
AND CATCH LARGE MOVES
79. Money Management Math
IT’S ALWAYS50/50
all that matters is my next trade
80. CONSECUTIVE LOSSES MATTER!!
Risk Factor Per Trade Equity Decline 4Losers
10%
34%
5%
19%
4%
15%
3%
11.5%
2%
8.0%
81. HOW I DO IT
2% RISK ON EACH TRADE82. HOW I DO IT
1) HOW FAR AWAY IS STOP?$1,000
2) WHAT IS 2% OF MY ACCOUNT?
2% OF 100,000 = $2,000
3) 1000/2000 = 2 UNITS
4) IF STOP WAS $100/$2000= 20 UNITS
83. Money Management
It’s all about you…E=mc2
84. ERASE THE FEAR
"If you command a lot of cash you can bewrong and still not have to worry."
Irving Kahn passed away at 104
in 2015 a Legendary Investor
85. Emotional Management
Why am I taking this action?What is the worst thing than can
happen? Can I handle that?
Am I responding to fear or taking
correct ACTION?
86. 3 Traits of Winning Traders
1. They are not easily flustered, so theydon’t make emotional decisions
2. They are not over confident of their
abilities
3. They are good with details
Dr. Jason Williams “The mental edge in
trading”
87. Wisdom from a Chess Master
• The player who hesitates is often saved• All the right moves are there on the board,
waiting to be made. Your job is to find
them
88. 2015 FORECAST
89. 2015 FORECAST
90. 1905 PATTERN
91. 1915 PATTERN
92. 1925 PATTERN
93. 1935 PATTERN
94. 1945 PATTERN
95. 1955 PATTERN
96. 1965 PATTERN
97. 1975 PATTERN
98. 1985 PATTERN
99. 1995 PATTERN
100. 2005 PATTERN
101. 2015 PATTERN
102. 1785-1895
103. 1937 YEARS
104. 1947
105. 1957
106. 1967
107. 1977
108. 1987
109. 1997
110. 2007
111. THE COMING CRASH ‘7’ YEARS
112. LONG TERM PATTERN
113. SOLAR INFLUENCE
114. “TRUST BUT VERIFY”
115. HOW MARKETS MOVE
1. SMALL RANGES TO LARGE RANGES2. TOPS WITH LARGE CLOSE- LOW
3. BOTTOMS SMALL CLOSE- LOW
116. HOW MARKETS MOVE
4. CONGESTION TO CREATION5. SMALL OPEN TO CLOSE TO LARGE
OPEN TO CLOSE
6. ‘U’ SHAPED INTRA DAY
117. HOW MARKETS MOVE
CRITICAL POINT FORSHORT TERM TRADERS
LARGE RANGE DAYS
(WHERE THE MONEY IS)
CLOSE ON THEIR EXTREMES
118. SMALL RANGES TO LARGE RANGES
119. TOPS WITH LARGE CLOSE- LOW
120. BOTTOMS SMALL CLOSE- LOW
121. SMALL OPEN TO CLOSE TO LARGE OPEN TO CLOSE
122. WEEKLY CHART
123. ‘U’ SHAPED INTRA DAY
124. LARGE RANGE RULE
125. LARGE RANGE RULE
126. Set up trades
COMMERCIALS—COT REPORTSEASONALS
CYCLES
ADVISORS
PAUNCH
127. COMMERCIALS—COT REPORT
128. COT REPORT
COMMERCIALS ARE HEDGERS,USERS AND PRODUCERS
LARGE TRADERS ARE FUNDS
SMALL TRADERS ARE THE PUBLIC
129. COMMERCIALS
THEY DO NOT MAKE MONEY TRADINGTHEY BUY WEAKNESS
THEY SELL STRENGTH
130. LARGE TRADERS
SPECUALTORSTHEY BUY STRENGTH/SELL WEAKNESS
CRITICAL---THEY ADD TO POSITIONS
131. SMALL TRADERS
THE PUBLICREACT TO PRICE
WITH NO MONEY MANAGEMENT
132. NET POSITION
133. NET POSITION
134. COT TO INDICATORS
135. INDICATORS
136. COTSI ALL MARKETS
137. RTSI
138. RUBLE
139. ADX/PAUNCH
140. ADX/PAUNCH
40 AND DECLINING SETS UP BUYSIGNAL
60 IS END OF THAT TREND
PRICE RALLYING ADX DOWN IS SELL
SET UP
141. ADX/PAUNCH
142. ADX/PAUNCH
143. ADX/PAUNCH DAILY
144. ADX/PAUNCH INTRA DAY
145. AUTO TRADE
146. AUTO TRADE RESULTS
147. AUTO TRADE RESULTS
148. BOTTOM LINE
“CHARTS DON’T MOVE MARKETS…CONDITIONS MOVE MARKETS”
And now you know the conditions
I use in my own trading
149. RUBLE FORECAST
150. RUBLE FORECAST
151. 2016 RUSSIA FORECAST
152. The End
Удачи и хорошиеторговые
Larry Williams
Ireallytrade.com