I. How is the world changing?
Forces changing skill demands
Automation
What kinds of work can computers do?
Changing mix of jobs in the economy
What kinds of work can’t computers do (yet)?
Automation has big consequences for education
Globalization
Work can increasingly be done anywhere … and there are more workers who can do it!
Implications for your students
National implications, too: Human capital has a big impact on economic growth
Impact of higher math & science scores on economic growth, projections through 2064
Workplace change
Major shifts in the workplace
Growth of the information-service economy
More collaboration in the workplace
Work has become more challenging … and more satisfying
Demographic change
A more diverse population: “Minorities” will be U.S. majority in about 30 Years
More diverse population
More diverse population
Aging population
Personal risk and responsibility
Shift in corporate benefit policies
Employment is less secure: Those who cannot perform will not keep their jobs
Retirement coverage is shifting toward individually controlled investments
Consumers are asked to make own decisions about health care and costs
II. What kind of knowledge and skills will young people need?
More important in the 21st Century
Occupations requiring more education are predicted to grow faster
Nearly two-thirds of new jobs will require postsecondary education or training
Earnings boost for college degree has grown immensely
Income inequality has increased massively over last 40 years driven by demand for high-skilled workers
Academics count: Preparing students for college and work
Advanced math improves earnings
Math skills are more consistently related to postsecondary success than other competencies
The screening test for electrician apprenticeships
Trades becoming more technical, requiring stronger math & reading
Trades becoming more technical, requiring stronger math & reading
Financial planning: Major shift in retirement coverage
Health care: Numeracy matters
Stronger literacy, more job success and more civic engagement!
Broad competencies: Employers expect them to become more important
Broad Competencies: Which are most critical? The 3 C’s!
Solve This Problem
Critical Thinking & Problem Solving: Important for high school grads entering workforce
Here’s another problem
Did you see the pattern?
Critical Thinking & Problem Solving: Require deep content knowledge
Communication & Collaboration: Which interpersonal skills need most work?
Communication & Collaboration: What are the most critical sub-skills?
Creativity: Superintendents and employers define it differently
Creativity: Superintendents and employers have different views of H.S. grads’ creativity skills
III. Implications for schools
Five big takeaways
And when it comes to competencies … clarity counts!
A few policy implications
A Few Policy Implications
6.13M
Category: educationeducation

Preparing Students for the st 21 Century

1.

Craig D. Jerald, Break the Curve Consulting
NSBA 2009 Federal Relations Conference
Washington, DC February 1, 2009
Preparing
Students
for the
st
21 Century

2. I. How is the world changing?

© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
2

3. Forces changing skill demands

Automation
Globalization
Workplace change
Demographic change
Personal risk and responsibility
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
3

4. Automation

© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
4

5. What kinds of work can computers do?

Follow routine directions: Any job where
information can be digitized and key tasks can be
broken down into a set of predictable rules.
EG, Airline reservations, tickets, boarding passes. Now
you can complete the whole process without ever talking
to a human being!
Recognize simple patterns.
EG, On the telephone, recognizing simple sentences in
response to prompts, then providing the appropriate
information or connecting to the appropriate human.
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
5

6. Changing mix of jobs in the economy

1969
40%
1999
38%
Percent of employed adults
33%
25%
22%
18%
14%
12%
12%
14%
8%
0%
Blue collar
workers
Admin support Sales related
workers
occupations
Technicians,
professionals,
managers,
administrators
Service
workers
Source: Levy, F. & Murnane, R. J. (2004). The new division of labor: How computers are creating the next job market.
Princeton, NJ: Russell Sage Foundation. (p. 42, Figure 3.2)
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
6

7.

Job tasks are changing across the
economy
14
Complex Communication
Percentile Change in 1969 Distribution
12
10
Expert Thinking
8
6
4
2
0
-2
1969
1980
1990
1998
Routine Manual
-4
-6
-8
Routine Thinking
-10
Source: Levy, F. & Murnane, R. J. (2004). The new division of labor: How computers are creating the next job market.
Princeton, NJ: Russell Sage Foundation. (p. 50, Figure 3.5)
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
7

8. What kinds of work can’t computers do (yet)?

Non-routine manual labor:
EG, driving a truck, security guard, etc.
Non-routine thinking work:
“Expert Thinking”—The ability to solve unexpected
problems for which there are no predictable and
programmable rule-based solutions.
“Complex Communications”—Interacting with other people
to acquire information, explain it, or persuade with it.
Doing both well also requires creativity, which computers
also are not very good at.
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
8

9. Automation has big consequences for education

Computers can follow directions better, faster,
and cheaper than human beings, and the number
of tasks computers can do grows every year.
Any curriculum that emphasizes following
directions to find a single correct answer is, by
definition, preparing students for jobs that
probably will not exist by the time those students
graduate.
“To educate our children to compete with either a computer [is
to educate them for] a competition they cannot win.”
—Frank Levy and Richard Murnane (2007)
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
9

10. Globalization

© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
10

11. Work can increasingly be done anywhere … and there are more workers who can do it!

Technological advances (internet, interactive
software, digital technologies) allow work to be
carved up and shipped around globe.
Historic political and economic changes around the
globe freed up more than 1 billion people—in places
like Russia, Eastern Europe, China, India, etc.—who
could potentially compete for that work.
“The result is a world in which it is just as easy to create work
teams composed of people on four continents as it is to create
work teams composed of people from four divisions of the same
firm located in the same city.”
—the New Commission on the Skills of the American workforce (2007)
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
11

12. Implications for your students

“Suddenly more people from more different places could
collaborate with more other people on more different kinds of
work and share more different kinds of knowledge than ever
before.”
—Thomas Friedman (2005)
“Highly skilled people with roughly the same qualifications are
competing directly with each other, no matter where they are
located on the globe.”
—the New Commission on the Skills of the American workforce (2007)
Sources: 1) National Center on Education and the Economy. (2007). Tough choices or tough times: The report of the New Commission on
the Skills of the American workforce. San Francisco, CA: Jossey-Bass. (p. 19)
2) Friedman, T. L. (2005). The world is flat: A brief history of the twenty-first century. New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux. (p. 81)
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
12

13. National implications, too: Human capital has a big impact on economic growth

If the U.S. improved students’ performance on
international tests to the level of top performing
nations, its Gross Domestic Product (GDP) would
be:
An additional 5 percent higher 32 years from now (enough
to entirely pay for K-12 education), and
An additional 36 percent higher 75 years from now!
Source: Hanushek, E. A. & Woessmann, L. (2008, September). The role of cognitive skills in economic development. Journal of Economic
Literature, 46(3), 607–68. (p. 650)
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
13

14. Impact of higher math & science scores on economic growth, projections through 2064

Impact of higher math & science scores
on economic growth,
projections through 2064
40
Percent addition to GDP from raising
U.S. math and science scores to near
top in the world
If it took 10 years
to meet goal
30
If it took 20 years
to meet goal
If it took 30 years
To reach goal
20
10
Total U.S.
K-12 spending
20
64
20
59
20
54
20
49
20
44
20
39
20
34
20
29
20
24
20
19
20
14
20
04
19
99
19
94
19
89
0
NOTE: “K-12 education expenditures are assumed to be constant at the level attained in 2005. These data show that economic benefits from a 1989
reform that raised the U.S. to the highest levels of test performance would cover the cost of K-12 education by 2015.”
Source: Hanushek, E. A., et al. (2008, Spring). Education and economic growth. Education Next, 8(2), 62-70. (p. 69)
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
14

15. Workplace change

© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
15

16. Major shifts in the workplace

Companies focusing more on providing information
than “things.”
Companies are “flatter,” with less hierarchy and less
direct supervision.
Employees have more autonomy and responsibility.
Work is much more collaborative.
Jobs are less routine, predictable, and stable.
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
16

17. Growth of the information-service economy

1967
1997
60%
Share of US GDP
56%
36%
35%
27%
19%
11%
11%
7%
0%
Material products
Material services
Information
products
Information
services
Source: Apte, U. M., Karmarkar, U. S., & Nath, H. K. (2008, Spring). Information services in the U.S. economy: Value, jobs, and
management implications. California Management Review, 50(3), 12-30.(p. 18, Table I)
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
17

18. More collaboration in the workplace

In top 1,000
companies:
Use of self-managing
work teams rose from
28% in 1988 to 65% in
2005.
Work teams are
increasingly global.
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
18

19. Work has become more challenging … and more satisfying

Percent of workers who “strongly agree”
1977
75%
2002
69%
66%
62%
55%
45%
45%
32%
28%
27%
20%
0%
My job lets me use It is basically my
my skills and
responsibility to
abilities
decide how my
job gets done
My job requires
that I learn new
things
My job requires
that I be creative
The work I do is
meaningful to me
Source: O’Toole, J. & Lawler, E.E. III. (2006). The new American workplace. New York: Palgrave Macmillan. (p. 55)
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
19

20. Demographic change

© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
20

21. A more diverse population: “Minorities” will be U.S. majority in about 30 Years

Percent of population NOT non-Hispanic white
100%
75%
50%
34%
35%
2008
2010
38%
40%
2015
2020
42%
45%
47%
49%
2030
2035
2040
51%
2045
54%
25%
0%
2025
2050
Source: Census Bureau. (2008, August 14). An older and more diverse nation by mid-century. Washington, DC: U.S.
Department of Labor. (Table 3: Projections of the Population by Race and Hispanic Origin for the United States 2008 to 2050)
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
21

22. More diverse population

Year in which “minorities” will
become the majority of …
Entire U.S. population
=
2042
Working-age population
=
2039
School-age population
=
2023
Source: Census Bureau. (2008, August 14). An older and more diverse nation by mid-century. Washington, DC: U.S.
Department of Labor.
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
22

23. More diverse population

Implications:
Schools will need to be able to educate a more
diverse student population
Schools will need to prepare students to interact in a
more diverse society and collaborate in a more
diverse work environment
More diverse U.S. society, which will be reflected in the
workplace, but also …
International collaboration, global work teams
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
23

24. Aging population

By the time the last Baby Boomer reaches 65 in 2030,
nearly one out of five U.S. residents will be 65 or
older.
Between 2008 and 2050 …
The 65 and older population will DOUBLE
The 85 and older population will TRIPLE
Source: Census Bureau. (2008, August 14). An older and more diverse nation by mid-century. Washington, DC: U.S.
Department of Labor.
“Fewer of us will have to support many more of us
than has ever been the case before.”
Source: National Center on Education and the Economy. (2007). Tough choices or tough times: The report of the New
Commission on the Skills of the American workforce. San Francisco, CA: Jossey-Bass. (p. 7).
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
24

25. Personal risk and responsibility

© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
25

26. Shift in corporate benefit policies

Individuals now shoulder more responsibility
for personal well-being:
Job security: employment more contingent on
performance than loyalty
Financial planning: more 401(k)s, fewer defined-benefit
plans
Health care: consumers increasingly called on to
choose own coverage & care
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
26

27. Employment is less secure: Those who cannot perform will not keep their jobs

Percent of managers responding “true” to
“great” or “very great” extent
Employment is less secure: Those who
cannot perform will not keep their jobs
77%
80%
In the late 1980s, 56% of
corporate managers said
loyal employees deserve
continued employment.
67%
60%
29%
16%
5%
0%
Rewards tied
to seniority
Loyalty to
company is
rewarded
Continued
employment
based on
developing
skills &
knowledge
Rewards tied
to individual
performance
Rewards tied
to group
and/or
company
performance
Continued
employment
based on
performance
Source: O’Toole, J. & Lawler, E.E. III. (2006). The new American workplace. New York: Palgrave Macmillan. (p. 67)
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
27

28. Retirement coverage is shifting toward individually controlled investments

Pension plans with investments controlled by
employers are being replaced by IRAs and 401(k)s
that require individuals to make at least some
investment decisions.
Retirement was once something that workers did not
have to think a lot about. Today, they do have to think
about it, and how well they think about can have huge
consequences for their future well-being.
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
28

29. Consumers are asked to make own decisions about health care and costs

Health coverage choices are more complicated and
varied
Information about the quality of health care providers
and treatment effectiveness is more transparent and
accessible
“Consumers therefore require more knowledge and
greater skill to take full advantage of new sources of
information and to make appropriate choices.”
Hibbard, Peters, Dixon & Tusler
Consumer competencies and the use of comparative
quality information, 2007
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
29

30. II. What kind of knowledge and skills will young people need?

© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
30

31. More important in the 21st Century

Postsecondary education and training
Academic knowledge and skills
Practical literacies: The ability to use knowledge
of math, English, science, civics etc. to meet realworld challenges.
Broader competencies: Critical thinking and
problem solving, communications and
collaboration, creativity, self-sufficiency etc.
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
31

32. Occupations requiring more education are predicted to grow faster

Percent change, 2006-16
16
Projected growth in jobs requiring …
14.8
10.5
7.7
0
High school or less
Some college or postsec
training
Bachelor's or higher
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics. (2008, February). Occupational projections and training data: 2008-9 edition. Washington,
DC: U.S. Department of Labor. (p. 4, Table I-3)
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
32

33. Nearly two-thirds of new jobs will require postsecondary education or training

High school or less
Some college or postsec training
Bachelor's or higher
31%
36%
New jobs,
2006-2016:
33%
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics. (2008, February). Occupational projections and training data: 2008-9 edition. Washington,
DC: U.S. Department of Labor. (p. 4, Table I-3)
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
33

34. Earnings boost for college degree has grown immensely

Change in average family income from 1973 to 2006:
Percent change in constant dollars
53%
50%
40%
30%
14%
10%
-10%
6%
13% -
H.S. dropout
-30%
H.S. graduate Some college
Bachelor's
Graduate or
professional
degree
Source: Mortenson, T. (2007, November). Average family income by educational attainment of householder 1967 to 2006.
Postsecondary Education Opportunity, 185. (p. 15)
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
34

35. Income inequality has increased massively over last 40 years driven by demand for high-skilled workers

1967
2007
Family income in 2007 dollars
$200,000
$186,529
$150,000
$101,467
$100,000
$91,881
$61,444
$50,000
$38,304
$57,464
$42,847
$29,810
$13,331
$16,068
$0
Lowest fifth
Second fifth
Middle fifth
Fourth fifth
Highest fifth
Income group
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Historical Income Tables - Families, Table
F-3 Mean Income Received by Each Fifth and Top 5 Percent of Families,
All Races: 1966 to 2007,
http://www.census.gov/hhes/www/income/histinc/f03AR.html
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
35

36. Academics count: Preparing students for college and work

Completing advanced math courses in high school has a greater influence on
whether students will graduate from college than any other factor, including
family background; students who take math beyond Algebra II double their
chances of earning a bachelor’s degree.
Just taking advanced math has a direct impact on future earnings, apart from any
other factors; students who take advanced math have higher incomes ten years
after graduating—regardless of family background, classroom grades, and
college degrees.
Recent studies suggest that higher math skills at the end of high school*
translates into a 12 percent boost in wages. (* Scoring one standard deviation
higher on a standardized math test.)
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
36

37. Advanced math improves earnings

Increase in earnings associated with math course
taken in high school
Due to college completion boost
Due to cognitive boost
15%
6.5%
3.2%
4.2%
3.1%
0.7%
0%
1.6%
Pre-algebra
4.6%
4.6%
5.5%
Algebra II
Trig/ Pre-cal
Calculus
3.0%
Algebra/
geometry
Source: Rose, H. & Betts, J. R. (2004, May). The effect of high school courses on earnings. The Review of Economics and
Statistics, 86(2), 497-513. Based on data in Table 2 on p. 501.
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
37

38. Math skills are more consistently related to postsecondary success than other competencies

Marginal impact of 10 percentage point increase in each
competency
Math skills are more consistently
related to postsecondary success
than other competencies
Math test score
Prosocial behavior
Work habits
Leadership roles
0.040
Sports-related competencies
Locus of control
0.037
0.030
0.029
0.029
0.024
0.020
0.018
0.015
0.015
0.011
0.010
0.017
0.010
0.008
0.007
0.005
0.003
0.001
0.004
0.002
0.000
0.000
Enroll in postsecondary ed
Earn a bachelor's degree
Earnings
Source: Deke, D. & Haimson, J. (2006, September 15). Valuing student competencies: Which ones predict postsecondary educational attainment and
earnings, and for whom? Princeton, NJ: Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. (p. 21, TABLE IV.1)
NOTE: Only the values at or above the red line were statistically significant. © Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
38

39. The screening test for electrician apprenticeships

Source: National Joint Apprenticeship and Training Committee for the Electrical Construction and Maintenance Industry,
http://www.njatc.org/training/apprenticeship/index.aspx
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
39

40. Trades becoming more technical, requiring stronger math & reading

Trades becoming more technical,
requiring stronger math & reading
“Don't be influenced by those who see the electrical
construction trade as an occupation requiring only a
strong back and a weak mind. The electrical trades
are becoming more technical each day.”
—Website of the Electrical Training Institute of Southern California
“If you want to work in the real world, if you want to
wire buildings and plumb buildings, that's when it
requires algebra.”
—Don Davis, executive director of the Electrical Training Institute of
Southern California (Los Angeles Times, January 30, 2006)
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
40

41. Trades becoming more technical, requiring stronger math & reading

Trades becoming more technical,
requiring stronger math & reading
ACT Study: The math and reading skills required
for electricians, construction workers,
upholsterers, and plumbers same as what’s
necessary to succeed in first-year college
courses!
ACT, Readiness for College and Readiness for Work:
Same or Different, Iowa City, IA. 2006
… but those skills are also increasingly
important OUTSIDE of jobs!
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
41

42. Financial planning: Major shift in retirement coverage

Percent of private sector workers with pension coverage
Financial planning: Major shift in
retirement coverage
1980
2004
75%
61%
60%
28%
23%
17%
11%
0%
Defined benefit only
Defined contribution only
Both
Source: Munnell, A. H., Haverstick, K., & Sanzenbacher, G. (2006, October). Job tenure and the spread of 401(k)s.
Boston, MA: Center for Retirement Research at Boston College. (p. 1, Figure 1)
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
42

43. Health care: Numeracy matters

Patients with lower math literacy:
Have worse understanding of risks and make worse decisions about
the benefits of mammography and experimental cancer treatments ;
Have a harder time taking prescribed medications (inhaled steroids,
anticoagulation drugs) and as a result worse health outcomes and
more hospitalizations ;
Have a harder time comprehending nutrition labels important for
patients with chronic illnesses like hypertension and diabetes ;
Have a harder time comprehending information about health coverage
options and make less informed choices about health plans ; and
Choose lower quality hospitals than more numerate patients when
given the same information on medical outcomes.
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
43

44. Stronger literacy, more job success and more civic engagement!

Percentage of U.S. adults by prose literacy level
Below basic
Basic
Intermediate
Proficient
100%
86%
76%
84%
73%
73%
68%
56%
45%
57%
57%
62%
54%
45%
41%
31%
18%
0%
Employed
Earn $500+ per week
Source: Kutner, M., Greenberg, E., Jin, Y., Boyle, B., Hsu, Y., & Dunleavy,
E. (2007). Literacy in everyday life: Results from the 2003 National
Assessment of Adult Literacy. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of
Education.
Volunteered in past
year
Voted in last
presidential election
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
44

45. Broad competencies: Employers expect them to become more important

Critical thinking/Problem solving
75%
Information technology application
75%
Teamwork/Collaboration
74%
Creativity/Innovation
74%
Handling diversity
67%
Leadership
67%
Oral communications
66%
Work ethic
64%
Ethics
64%
Written communications
64%
Self-direction/Lifelong learning
64%
63%
Foreign languages
50%
75%
Percent of employers who believe skill will become more important over next five years
Source: Conference Board. (2006). Are they really ready to work? (p. 49, Table 12)
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
45

46. Broad Competencies: Which are most critical? The 3 C’s!

Critical thinking and problem solving
Communication/Collaboration
Labor economists Levy & Murnane call it “expert thinking”
Levy and Murnane call it “complex communications”
Creativity
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
46

47. Solve This Problem

Suppose you are a doctor faced with a patient who has a
malignant tumor in his stomach. It is impossible to operate on
the patient, but unless the tumor is destroyed the patient will
die. There is a kind of ray that can be used to destroy the
tumor. If the rays reach the tumor all at once at a sufficiently
high intensity, the tumor will be destroyed. Unfortunately, at
this intensity the healthy tissue that the rays pass through on
the way to the tumor will also be destroyed. At lower
intensities the rays are harmless to healthy tissue, but they will
not affect the tumor either. What type of procedure might be
used to destroy the tumor with the rays, and at the same time
avoid destroying the healthy tissue?
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
47

48. Critical Thinking & Problem Solving: Important for high school grads entering workforce

Critical Thinking & Problem Solving:
Important for high school grads
entering workforce
Nearly 60% of employers rate critical thinking and
problem solving as “very important” for h.s. grads
entering the workforce … yet 70% of employers rate
them “deficient” in those skills.
While 73% of school superintendents think h.s. grads
meet expectations for “problem solving,” only 45%
percent of employers think so.
78% of employers expect critical thinking/problem
solving to become even more important in the near
future.
Sources: 1) Conference Board. (2006, October). Are they really ready to work? New York: Author. (p. 21, Table 3 and p. 32, Table 6)
2) Conference Board. (2008, March). Ready to innovate: Are educators and executives aligned on the creative readiness of the U.S.
workforce? New York: Author.
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
48

49. Here’s another problem

A small country was ruled from a strong fortress by a dictator.
The fortress was situated in the middle of the country,
surrounded by farms and villages. Many roads led to the
fortress through the countryside. A rebel general vowed to
capture the fortress. The general knew that an attack by his
entire army would capture the fortress. He gathered his army
at the head of one of the roads, ready to launch a full-scale
direct attack.
However, the general then learned that the dictator had planted
mines on each of the roads. The mines were set so that small
bodies of men could pass over them safely, since the dictator
needed to move his troops and workers to and from the
fortress. However, any large force would detonate the mines.
Not only would this blow up the road, but it would also destroy
many neighboring villages. It therefore seemed impossible to
capture the fortress.
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
49

50. Did you see the pattern?

Both problems have essentially the same answer:
Dispersal of strength and re-gathering of strength at
the point of attack.
Solving problems is hard because you get stuck on
the surface facts and don’t see the deeper patterns
and relationships.
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
50

51. Critical Thinking & Problem Solving: Require deep content knowledge

Critical Thinking & Problem Solving:
Require deep content knowledge
Cognitive scientists used to believe that “thinking
skills” could be taught directly and then applied to any
situation.
Now they believe that’s wrong. Critical thinking is not
a generic skill, but rather tied closely to contextual
knowledge—deep understanding of the topic in
question.
What is “deep knowledge”? Getting below the surface:
WHATs: Factual knowledge about the field, and
WHYs & HOWs: How those facts fit together, how and why
things are the way they are, and how things work the way they
do.
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
51

52. Communication & Collaboration: Which interpersonal skills need most work?

Percentage of employers rating entrants as "deficient"
Communication & Collaboration: Which
interpersonal skills need most work?
H.S. grads
2-yr college grads
4-yr college grads
100%
81%
54%
47%
35%
28%
21%
10%
12%
8%
0%
Written communications
Oral communications
Teamwork/collaboration
Source: Conference Board. (2006, October). Are they really ready to work? New York: Author. (pp. 32-34, Tables 6-8)
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
52

53. Communication & Collaboration: What are the most critical sub-skills?

Communication & Collaboration:
What are the most critical sub-skills?
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
Source: Conference Board. (2006, October). Are they really ready to work? New York: Author. (pp. 32-34, Tables 6-8)
53

54. Creativity: Superintendents and employers define it differently

Percent choosing skill among top three for demonstrating
creativity
Creativity: Superintendents and
employers define it differently
Employers
Superintendents
60%
Top choice
Top choice
48%
47%
37%
23%
24%
14%
0%
Problem identification or
articulation
Problem solving
Comfort with "no right
answer"
Source: Conference Board. (2008, March). Ready to innovate: Are educators and executives aligned on the creative readiness
of the U.S. workforce? New York: Author. (p.7)
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
54

55. Creativity: Superintendents and employers have different views of H.S. grads’ creativity skills

Percent who say H.S. grads meet expectations
Creativity: Superintendents and
employers have different views of
H.S. grads’ creativity skills
Employers
Superintendents
80%
75%
58%
57%
33%
56%
35%
0%
Comfort with "no right
answer"
Ability to identify new
patterns of behavior or
new combinations of
action
Fundamental curiosity
Source: Conference Board. (2008, March). Ready to innovate: Are educators and executives aligned on the creative readiness
of the U.S. workforce? New York: Author. (p.7)
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
55

56. III. Implications for schools

© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
56

57. Five big takeaways

Students who obtain more education will be at a great advantage; increasingly, some
postsecondary education or technical training is essential for an opportunity to support a family
or secure a middle-class lifestyle.
The need for traditional knowledge and skills in school subjects like math, language arts, and
science is not being “displaced” by a new set of “thinking skills”; in fact, students who take
more advanced math courses and master higher math skills, for example, will have a distinct
advantage over their peers.
At the same time, for success both on the job and in their personal lives, students must also
better learn how to apply what they learn in those subjects to deal with real world challenges,
rather than simply “reproduce” the information on tests.
Students who develop an even broader set of in-demand competencies—the ability to think
critically about information, solve novel problems, communicate and collaborate, create new
products and processes, and adapt to change—will be at an even greater advantage in work and
life.
Applied skills and competencies can best be taught in the context of the academic curriculum,
not as a replacement for it or “add on” to it; in fact, cognitive research suggests that some
competencies like critical thinking and problem solving are highly dependent on deep content
knowledge and cannot be taught in isolation.
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
57

58. And when it comes to competencies … clarity counts!

Don’t assume “everyone knows” what [critical
thinking/collaboration/creativity] is. Ask these questions:
1) Is there a shared definition of [critical
thinking/collaboration/creativity] in your district, or is everyone
free to define it however they want?
2) Does the definition match the real world demand for that skill,
e.g., the way employers define it?
3) Is the definition detailed and specific enough so that teachers
and students and other stakeholders really understand what is
expected of them?
4) Are these skills incorporated into the curriculum, or have you
just asked teachers to “address them” somehow?
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
58

59. A few policy implications

Curriculum
Integrate into curriculum instead of purchasing stand-alone
“thinking skills” programs: They don’t work.
Where is the time for deeper understanding, real world
application, problem solving?
Focus: U.S. tends to have a curriculum that is “a mile wide
and an inch deep”—shallow and repetitive
EG, U.S. math textbooks cover almost twice as many topics per
grade as Singapore’s. In Singapore, students expected to
complete about one thorough lesson on a single topic per
week; in U.S., about one lesson on a narrowly focused topic
each day
More time to explore subjects through open ended problems,
collaborative projects, creativity
© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
59

60. A Few Policy Implications

Assessment
Teaching to the state test is too narrow:
EG, Recent study found that math tests in 10 states had
too few complex problem solving questions to even
measure whether there is a gender gap in such skills let
alone whether students are being adequately prepared for
real world work.
Supplement with more challenging local assessments
(other countries do that).
Find early ways to gauge college preparedness, EG
ACT’s EPAS system.
For problem solving and applied literacy, key is to
challenge students with less structured, more open
ended problems in each subject. OECD’s Programme
for International Student Assessment (PISA) framework
and items can be helpful.© Craig D. Jerald for the Center for Public Education, 2009
60

61.

Craig D. Jerald, Break the Curve Consulting
NSBA 2009 Federal Relations Conference
Washington, DC February 1, 2009
Preparing
Students
for the
st
21 Century
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